Tue 20 May · 20:45
Madrid52%
Pred.2 – 1
Munich26%
Predicted
6
2
0
5
3
0
Best Pick
Real Madrid Win
View Full Prediction
Win probabilities built from five data layers: live bookmaker consensus, recent team form, head-to-head records, venue statistics and advanced match metrics including expected goals. Covering 15 sports, updated every 30 seconds. 18+ | Gamble responsibly.
Each sport has a different card format. Select a sport below, then tap the ? dots to see what each element means.
Click an element below to highlight it on the card and read the explanation.
The percentage you see on every ScoresLive prediction card is not simply a conversion of the bookmaker's price into a probability. That approach, used by many sites, reproduces the market's view and nothing more. It also carries the bookmaker's overround, meaning the implied probabilities sum to more than 100% and systematically skew the numbers in the house's favour.
ScoresLive strips the overround first, then layers in four additional data sources before producing a final probability. The result is a composite score that reflects both market pricing and the underlying statistical reality of the fixture. Where the market and the data agree, the probability will be close to the pure odds-based figure. Where they diverge, the composite probability may differ significantly from what the bookmaker is offering.
All five layers are calibrated against verified historical match outcomes across each sport and competition type. The weighting differs by sport: in football, xG data carries significant weight because it is a well-validated predictor of future results. In horse racing, course-and-distance records and going preferences carry more weight. In MMA, the stylistic matchup coefficient is the most sport-specific adjustment applied to any ScoresLive model.
Football is ScoresLive's most comprehensive prediction category, covering over 200 competitions across six continents. The win probability model for football is built on five data inputs: bookmaker consensus odds updated every 30 seconds, each team's form across the last five matches weighted by recency, head-to-head records segmented by home and away venues, venue-specific home advantage coefficients, and expected goals (xG) data from verified statistics providers.
Football cards are the only sport on ScoresLive to carry predicted match statistics alongside the win probability. For matches where sufficient historical data exists, each card shows the predicted final score, predicted corners per team, predicted yellow cards per team and a predicted red card indicator. These projections use the referee's season booking rate, each team's season average fouls and yellows, and xG-adjusted attacking and defensive strength ratings.
Coverage runs across the major domestic divisions worldwide. European coverage includes all five major leagues plus the three UEFA club competitions. International fixture coverage includes World Cup qualification, continental championships and the UEFA Nations League.
NBA predictions incorporate net rating (combined offensive and defensive efficiency differential per 100 possessions), pace of play, home court advantage adjusted per arena, and rest day differentials since back-to-back fatigue is a quantifiable factor in NBA performance. Moneyline, spread and total points lines from leading licensed bookmakers are shown on every card.
EuroLeague and FIBA international competitions receive the same treatment with competition-specific recalibrations. In European basketball the home court advantage coefficient is substantially larger than in the NBA, which is reflected in how probabilities are calculated for knockout fixtures.
Boxing prediction methodology accounts for the stylistic nature of the sport. Beyond basic record and KO percentage, the model considers reach and height differentials, punch output per round, punch landing percentage, the trainer's tactical tendencies, and the weight division's historical knockout rate versus decision rate. A bout between two high-output brawlers in lightweight carries a very different probability profile to a heavyweight clash between a puncher and a technical counter-puncher.
World title fight coverage spans all four major governing bodies (WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO). Domestic and regional championship bouts from major promoters are included where bookmaker odds are available.
ScoresLive aggregates pricing from leading licensed bookmakers. All listed operators hold active licences, meaning they operate under strict rules on fair play, customer protection, responsible gambling tools and financial security. ScoresLive does not list, link to or recommend any unlicensed operator.
On each prediction card, the best available odds across all listed bookmakers are displayed alongside the composite win probability. This lets you compare the market's price against ScoresLive's model and make an informed decision. Odds change constantly, and the best price at the time the card last refreshed may not reflect the price at the time you place a bet.
For a full review of each bookmaker's welcome offer, features and app quality, visit the best betting sites page, where we cover bonus terms, wagering requirements and payment methods for all listed operators.
Prediction data becomes most useful in combination with live match information. ScoresLive's live scores section covers the same 15 sports as predictions, updating in real time during play. As a match progresses, the bookmaker odds on prediction cards shift to reflect the live situation, meaning the win probability five minutes into a match can look very different to the pre-match figure if an early goal or wicket has already changed the picture.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. ScoresLive does not provide financial or investment advice. Always bet responsibly. Only gamble what you can afford to lose. Visit Gamble Alert for support. 18+